Where Do Seasonal Climate Predictions Belong in the Drought Management Toolbox?

Michael A. Crimmins, Mitchel P. McClaran

Abstract


• Seasonal climate predictions, based largely on the status of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, are one such tool but need to be used with prudence, understanding when andwhere they perform the best.
• Advance planning and preparation for drought includes finding the right place for uncertain climate predictions in management decision making, as well as working to reduce overall exposure to drought risks.

Keywords: drought, seasonal climate prediction, forecasts, El Niño-Southern Oscillation.


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